Match context

The upcoming match between Inter Miami and Columbus Crew is scheduled for 01.08.2026 23:30 in Major League Soccer. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Inter Miami are in position 2 with 37 points after 17 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 43 scored and 30 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWW. Columbus Crew are in position 11 with 19 points after 17 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 4 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWDL.

Recent results

Inter Miami recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWWWLDWW. The averages are 3 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Columbus Crew recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWWDLLLWW. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Inter Miami recorded 6 wins, there were 1 draws, and Columbus Crew recorded 3 wins. The average total was 3.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Inter Miami to win with 60% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 60.23%, 21.41% and 18.36%. The model momentum difference is 41.87 points in favour of Inter Miami. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.60 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -3.63%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Inter Miami -0.5 / Columbus Crew +0.5 supports Inter Miami by an average 2.81 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, Unibet) with up to 18 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 26, score 85/100, 85.22% group success rate across 372 observations).

What happened in the match

The match between Inter Miami and Columbus Crew ended 2-2. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.5 goals, while this match produced 4. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Inter Miami at -0.5. The stored market movement was 2.81 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-2, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 26. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.