Match context

The upcoming match between Toronto FC and New England Revolution is scheduled for 15.08.2026 23:30 in Major League Soccer. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Toronto FC are in position 12 with 16 points after 18 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 32 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDDLL. New England Revolution are in position 3 with 29 points after 17 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 28 scored and 21 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDLWL.

Recent results

Toronto FC recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLDDLLLLDL. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. New England Revolution recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDWDLWLWWW. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Toronto FC recorded 2 wins, there were 4 draws, and New England Revolution recorded 4 wins. The average total was 1.80 goals per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 9.80; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Toronto FC -0.5 / New England Revolution +0.5 supports Toronto FC by an average 3.89 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, Unibet) with up to 7 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Toronto FC at home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 2.11 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 2.22 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 88.9%, 55.6%, 33.3%, 33.3% and 11.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 11.1%. Season card data is available for 17 of 17 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for New England Revolution away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 1.86 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.86 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 71.4%, 57.1%, 28.6%, 28.6% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 16 of 16 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Toronto FC and New England Revolution ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.8 goals, while this match produced 3. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Toronto FC at home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 2.11 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 2.22 total cards per match. In this game, Toronto FC received 1 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.22 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 33.3% of matches, 5+ in 11.1%, and a red card in 11.1%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for New England Revolution away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 1.86 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.86 total cards per match. In this game, New England Revolution received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.86 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 28.6% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Toronto FC at -0.5. The stored market movement was 3.89 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.