Match context

The upcoming match between Austin and FC Dallas is scheduled for 17.08.2026 00:30 in Major League Soccer. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Austin are in position 14 with 17 points after 18 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 5 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 22 scored and 36 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLLL. FC Dallas are in position 6 with 26 points after 18 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 32 scored and 25 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDWWL.

Recent results

Austin recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWWLLWLLLL. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. FC Dallas recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWDLDWWLW. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Austin recorded 3 wins, there were 2 draws, and FC Dallas recorded 5 wins. The average total was 2.40 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Austin -0.5 / FC Dallas +0.5 supports FC Dallas by an average 1.42 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, Unibet) with up to 15 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2.02). Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.20, score 78/100, 77.58% bucket win rate across 455 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Austin at home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.63 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.63 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 87.5%, 50.0%, 25.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 17 of 17 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for FC Dallas away from home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.75 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.75 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 50.0%, 25.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 17 of 17 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Austin and FC Dallas ended 1-2. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.4 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Austin at home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2.63 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.63 total cards per match. In this game, Austin received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.63 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for FC Dallas away from home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2.75 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.75 total cards per match. In this game, FC Dallas received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 1.25 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported FC Dallas at +0.5. The stored market movement was 1.42 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-2, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2.02. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.2. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.