Match context

The upcoming match between Colorado Rapids and Sporting Kansas City is scheduled for 16.08.2026 01:30 in Major League Soccer. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Colorado Rapids are in position 13 with 19 points after 18 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 1 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 27 scored and 25 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLLW. Sporting Kansas City are in position 15 with 14 points after 18 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 2 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 18 scored and 46 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLLW.

Recent results

Colorado Rapids recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWDLWLWLL. The averages are 0.80 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals. Sporting Kansas City recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWLLWWLDL. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 2.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Colorado Rapids recorded 4 wins, there were 2 draws, and Sporting Kansas City recorded 4 wins. The average total was 2.80 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Colorado Rapids to win with 65% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 64.71%, 20.85% and 14.44%. The model momentum difference is 50.28 points in favour of Colorado Rapids. The input data quality score is 99/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.45 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.17%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Colorado Rapids -0.25 / Sporting Kansas City +0.25 supports Colorado Rapids by an average 1.91 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (Bet365) with up to 4 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Colorado Rapids at home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.25 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 2.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 87.5%, 62.5%, 50.0%, 50.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 25.0%. Season card data is available for 17 of 17 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Sporting Kansas City away from home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 1.56 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.56 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 66.7%, 44.4%, 22.2%, 11.1% and 11.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 18 of 18 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Colorado Rapids and Sporting Kansas City ended 2-0. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.8 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Colorado Rapids at -0.25. The stored market movement was 1.91 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 2-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.