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🔁 Head-to-Head

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🟢 Los Angeles FC 🟡 Draws San Diego 🔴
Date Match Score
03.05.2026 San Diego - Los Angeles FC 2 : 2
01.09.2025 Los Angeles FC - San Diego 1 : 2
30.03.2025 San Diego - Los Angeles FC 3 : 2

🗓 Latest Matches: Los Angeles FC

Date Match Score Res
13.08.2026 Los Angeles FC - Club Queretaro 1 - 1 D
09.08.2026 Toluca - Los Angeles FC 0 - 1 W
06.08.2026 Los Angeles FC - Guadalajara Chivas 1 - 1 D
01.08.2026 Vancouver Whitecaps - Los Angeles FC 1 - 1 D
26.07.2026 Los Angeles FC - Sporting Kansas City 4 - 0 W

📆 Latest Matches: San Diego

Date Match Score Res
13.08.2026 San Diego - Puebla 3 - 2 W
10.08.2026 San Diego - Club Tijuana 1 - 0 W
07.08.2026 Club America - San Diego 3 - 1 L
02.08.2026 Minnesota United FC - San Diego 1 - 1 D
26.07.2026 San Diego - FC Dallas 1 - 0 W

Pre-match analysis

This analysis is locked and its content can no longer be changed.

Match context

The upcoming match between Los Angeles FC and San Diego is scheduled for 16.08.2026 02:30 in Major League Soccer. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Los Angeles FC are in position 2 with 33 points after 19 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 35 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWL. San Diego are in position 12 with 20 points after 18 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 32 scored and 29 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLDW.

Recent results

Los Angeles FC recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWDDWWWWLL. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. San Diego recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLDWLLDWD. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 3 head-to-head matches, Los Angeles FC recorded 0 wins, there were 1 draws, and San Diego recorded 2 wins. The average total was 4 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Both teams to score — 60%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Los Angeles FC or draw (1X) with 80% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 58.30%, 21.81% and 19.88%. The model momentum difference is 38.42 points in favour of Los Angeles FC. The input data quality score is 98/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.18 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.46%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Los Angeles FC 0 / San Diego 0 supports San Diego by an average 1.37 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365) with up to 13 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 21, score 85/100, 84.78% group success rate across 966 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Los Angeles FC at home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 1.22 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.22 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 55.6%, 44.4%, 11.1%, 11.1% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 18 of 18 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for San Diego away from home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.13 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 2.38 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 75.0%, 50.0%, 12.5% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 25.0%. Season card data is available for 17 of 17 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

Generated: 2026-08-15 20:01:49 · Locked: 2026-08-16 04:10:08

Post-match review

What happened in the match

The match between Los Angeles FC and San Diego ended 0-1. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 3 head-to-head meetings averaged 4 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 100%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 3 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 100%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Los Angeles FC at home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 1.22 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.22 total cards per match. In this game, Los Angeles FC received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 2.78 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 11.1% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for San Diego away from home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2.13 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 2.38 total cards per match. In this game, San Diego received 4 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 5 in total. That was 2.62 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 25%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported San Diego at 0. The stored market movement was 1.37 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 0-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 21. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 6 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.

Added after the match: 2026-08-16 07:00:09
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