Match context

The upcoming match between San Jose Earthquakes and St. Louis City is scheduled for 16.08.2026 02:30 in Major League Soccer. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
San Jose Earthquakes are in position 3 with 33 points after 18 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 37 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLWLL. St. Louis City are in position 7 with 25 points after 18 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWD.

Recent results

San Jose Earthquakes recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLLWLLLDD. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 2.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. St. Louis City recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWWWWDDWWL. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 8 head-to-head matches, San Jose Earthquakes recorded 1 wins, there were 0 draws, and St. Louis City recorded 7 wins. The average total was 3.25 goals per match. Both teams scored in 75% of those matches, while 87.5% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair San Jose Earthquakes -0.5 / St. Louis City +0.5 supports St. Louis City by an average 2.39 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, Unibet) with up to 11 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2.02).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for San Jose Earthquakes at home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.88 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.88 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 75.0%, 75.0%, 37.5% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 15 of 16 completed matches (93.8% coverage). The discipline profile for St. Louis City away from home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 2.25 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 75.0%, 37.5%, 37.5%, 25.0% and 25.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 25.0%. Season card data is available for 17 of 17 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between San Jose Earthquakes and St. Louis City ended 1-3. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 8 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.25 goals, while this match produced 4. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 8 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 8 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 87.5%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for San Jose Earthquakes at home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2.88 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.88 total cards per match. In this game, San Jose Earthquakes received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.88 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 75% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for St. Louis City away from home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 2.25 total cards per match. In this game, St. Louis City received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.25 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 37.5% of matches, 5+ in 25%, and a red card in 25%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported St. Louis City at +0.5. The stored market movement was 2.39 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-3, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2.02. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 9 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.