Match context

The upcoming match between New York City FC and Philadelphia Union is scheduled for 16.08.2026 22:00 in Major League Soccer. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
New York City FC are in position 5 with 25 points after 18 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 31 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLDW. Philadelphia Union are in position 14 with 13 points after 18 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 25 scored and 33 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLDL.

Recent results

New York City FC recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWDWWLLDW. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Philadelphia Union recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLWWWLDLL. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, New York City FC recorded 4 wins, there were 0 draws, and Philadelphia Union recorded 6 wins. The average total was 3 goals per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 7.80; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 92%; over 9.5 corners — 82%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair New York City FC -0.5 / Philadelphia Union +0.5 supports Philadelphia Union by an average 5.53 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, Unibet) with up to 23 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.20, score 78/100, 77.70% bucket win rate across 453 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for New York City FC at home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 0.71 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 0.71 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 57.1%, 14.3%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 14 of 14 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Philadelphia Union away from home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.75 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 87.5%, 87.5%, 75.0%, 37.5% and 12.5% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 25.0%. Season card data is available for 16 of 16 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between New York City FC and Philadelphia Union ended 2-3. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 12 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 7.8 total corners. The match recorded 12 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 92%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 82%. The actual outcome was Over 9.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for New York City FC at home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 0.71 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 0.71 total cards per match. In this game, New York City FC received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 2.29 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Philadelphia Union away from home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2.75 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, Philadelphia Union received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 1 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 75% of matches, 5+ in 12.5%, and a red card in 25%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Philadelphia Union at +0.5. The stored market movement was 5.53 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-3, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.2. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 14 verifiable pre-match indicators, 11 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.