Match context

The upcoming match between Philadelphia Union and Inter Miami is scheduled for 19.08.2026 23:30 in Major League Soccer. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Philadelphia Union are in position 14 with 13 points after 18 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 25 scored and 33 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLDL. Inter Miami are in position 2 with 37 points after 18 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 45 scored and 32 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWW.

Recent results

Philadelphia Union recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWLWWWLDL. The averages are 2.10 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Inter Miami recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLWDWWWWW. The averages are 2.70 goals scored and 2.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia Union recorded 2 wins, there were 2 draws, and Inter Miami recorded 6 wins. The average total was 4.10 goals per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 3.5 goals — 60%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 10.60; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Philadelphia Union -0.5 / Inter Miami +0.5 supports Inter Miami by an average 1.57 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, Unibet) with up to 38 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

3 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 23, score 80/100, 79.77% group success rate across 613 observations). Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2). Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.36).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Philadelphia Union at home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 1.75 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 1.88 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 75.0%, 50.0%, 50.0%, 12.5% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 12.5%. Season card data is available for 17 of 17 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Inter Miami away from home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.80 yellow cards, 0.10 red cards and 2.90 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 90.0%, 60.0%, 20.0% and 10.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 10.0%. Season card data is available for 16 of 16 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Philadelphia Union and Inter Miami ended 2-2. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 5 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 4.1 goals, while this match produced 4. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 10.6 total corners. The match recorded 5 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 7.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 8.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Philadelphia Union at home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 1.75 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 1.88 total cards per match. In this game, Philadelphia Union received 4 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 5 in total. That was 3.12 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 12.5%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Inter Miami away from home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 2.8 yellow cards, 0.1 red cards and 2.9 total cards per match. In this game, Inter Miami received 2 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.1 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 60% of matches, 5+ in 10%, and a red card in 10%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Inter Miami at +0.5. The stored market movement was 1.57 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-2, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 23. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.36. The actual market outcome was BTTS Yes. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 17 verifiable pre-match indicators, 11 aligned with the final result and 6 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.