Match context

The upcoming match between FC Cincinnati and New York City FC is scheduled for 19.08.2026 23:30 in Major League Soccer. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
FC Cincinnati are in position 7 with 23 points after 18 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 45 scored and 44 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWDL. New York City FC are in position 5 with 25 points after 18 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 31 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWLDW.

Recent results

FC Cincinnati recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWWWLWWWD. The averages are 2.80 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. New York City FC recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLWDWWLLD. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, FC Cincinnati recorded 4 wins, there were 2 draws, and New York City FC recorded 4 wins. The average total was 3 goals per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 9.70; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair FC Cincinnati -0.5 / New York City FC +0.5 supports FC Cincinnati by an average 1.56 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, Unibet) with up to 33 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 19, score 82/100, 81.68% group success rate across 1359 observations). Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for FC Cincinnati at home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 2.14 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 57.1%, 28.6%, 14.3% and 14.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 14.3%. Season card data is available for 16 of 16 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for New York City FC away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.86 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 85.7%, 57.1%, 28.6% and 28.6% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 14.3%. Season card data is available for 15 of 15 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between FC Cincinnati and New York City FC ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 6 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3 total goals, while this match produced 3. That is an exact match with the historical scoring profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 9.7 total corners. The match recorded 6 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 7.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 8.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for FC Cincinnati at home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 2.14 total cards per match. In this game, FC Cincinnati received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.86 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 28.6% of matches, 5+ in 14.3%, and a red card in 14.3%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for New York City FC away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2.86 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, New York City FC received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. The total was effectively equal to the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 57.1% of matches, 5+ in 28.6%, and a red card in 14.3%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported FC Cincinnati at -0.5. The stored market movement was 1.56 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 19. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 15 verifiable pre-match indicators, 10 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.