Match context

The upcoming match between New York Red Bulls and Nashville SC is scheduled for 19.08.2026 23:30 in Major League Soccer. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
New York Red Bulls are in position 8 with 22 points after 18 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 29 scored and 39 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLWDW. Nashville SC are in position 1 with 39 points after 18 matches. The season record is 12 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 35 scored and 14 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWWW.

Recent results

New York Red Bulls recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLLWDWWLL. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Nashville SC recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWLDLWWWW. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, New York Red Bulls recorded 5 wins, there were 4 draws, and Nashville SC recorded 1 wins. The average total was 1.20 goals per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 10% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 9.50; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair New York Red Bulls -0.5 / Nashville SC +0.5 supports New York Red Bulls by an average 2.07 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, Unibet) with up to 40 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2). At least one goal in the match (quota 17, score 82/100, 81.52% group success rate across 1910 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for New York Red Bulls at home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.38 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 2.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 87.5%, 62.5%, 50.0%, 25.0% and 12.5% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 12.5%. Season card data is available for 16 of 16 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Nashville SC away from home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 1.83 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 83.3%, 50.0%, 50.0%, 16.7% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 16.7%. Season card data is available for 15 of 15 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between New York Red Bulls and Nashville SC ended 0-1. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 12 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.2 goals, while this match produced 1. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 9.5 total corners. The match recorded 12 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 9.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for New York Red Bulls at home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2.38 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 2.5 total cards per match. In this game, New York Red Bulls received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.5 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 12.5%, and a red card in 12.5%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Nashville SC away from home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 1.83 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Nashville SC received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. The total was effectively equal to the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 16.7%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported New York Red Bulls at -0.5. The stored market movement was 2.07 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 0-1, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 17. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 16 verifiable pre-match indicators, 9 aligned with the final result and 7 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.