Match context

The upcoming match between Toronto FC and Charlotte is scheduled for 19.08.2026 23:30 in Major League Soccer. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Toronto FC are in position 12 with 16 points after 18 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 32 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDDLL. Charlotte are in position 6 with 25 points after 18 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 29 scored and 27 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDWWL.

Recent results

Toronto FC recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDLDDLLLLD. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Charlotte recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWWLWDWWL. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 9 head-to-head matches, Toronto FC recorded 3 wins, there were 1 draws, and Charlotte recorded 5 wins. The average total was 3 goals per match. Both teams scored in 33.3% of those matches, while 55.6% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 40%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 9.80; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Toronto FC -0.75 / Charlotte +0.75 supports Charlotte by an average 1.73 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365) with up to 34 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

3 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2). Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.20, score 78/100, 78.08% bucket win rate across 438 observations). At least one goal in the match (quota 15, score 80/100, 80.41% group success rate across 2624 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Toronto FC at home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.20 red cards and 2.20 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 90.0%, 60.0%, 30.0%, 30.0% and 10.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 20.0%. Season card data is available for 18 of 18 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Charlotte away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 85.7%, 57.1%, 28.6%, 28.6% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 14 of 14 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Toronto FC and Charlotte ended 3-3. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 9 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 9 head-to-head meetings averaged 3 goals, while this match produced 6. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 66.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 55.6%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 9.8 total corners. The match recorded 9 corners in total. The result remained within one corner of the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Toronto FC at home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0.2 red cards and 2.2 total cards per match. In this game, Toronto FC received 1 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.2 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 30% of matches, 5+ in 10%, and a red card in 20%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Charlotte away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, Charlotte received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 2 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 28.6% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Charlotte at +0.75. The stored market movement was 1.73 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-3, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.2. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 15. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 17 verifiable pre-match indicators, 9 aligned with the final result and 8 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.