Match context

The upcoming match between Sporting Kansas City and St. Louis City is scheduled for 20.08.2026 00:00 in Major League Soccer. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Sporting Kansas City are in position 15 with 14 points after 18 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 2 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 18 scored and 46 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLLW. St. Louis City are in position 7 with 25 points after 18 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWWD.

Recent results

Sporting Kansas City recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLWLLWWLD. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 2.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. St. Louis City recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDWWWWDDWW. The averages are 2 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sporting Kansas City recorded 4 wins, there were 4 draws, and St. Louis City recorded 2 wins. The average total was 3.40 goals per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Sporting Kansas City -0.75 / St. Louis City +0.75 supports St. Louis City by an average 1.50 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365) with up to 38 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 17, score 82/100, 81.53% group success rate across 1911 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Sporting Kansas City at home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 1.67 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 1.78 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 88.9%, 55.6%, 33.3%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 11.1%. Season card data is available for 19 of 19 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for St. Louis City away from home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.22 red cards and 2.22 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 77.8%, 44.4%, 33.3%, 22.2% and 22.2% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 22.2%. Season card data is available for 18 of 18 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Sporting Kansas City and St. Louis City ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.4 goals, while this match produced 2. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Sporting Kansas City at home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 1.67 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 1.78 total cards per match. In this game, Sporting Kansas City received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.22 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 33.3% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 11.1%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for St. Louis City away from home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0.22 red cards and 2.22 total cards per match. In this game, St. Louis City received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.22 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 33.3% of matches, 5+ in 22.2%, and a red card in 22.2%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported St. Louis City at +0.75. The stored market movement was 1.5 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 17. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.