Match context

The upcoming match between Vancouver Whitecaps and Houston Dynamo is scheduled for 20.08.2026 02:30 in Major League Soccer. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Vancouver Whitecaps are in position 1 with 33 points after 17 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 38 scored and 17 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLWLW. Houston Dynamo are in position 5 with 26 points after 17 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 25 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDDWL.

Recent results

Vancouver Whitecaps recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDLLDDLDLW. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Houston Dynamo recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWWWDWWDDW. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 0.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vancouver Whitecaps recorded 3 wins, there were 3 draws, and Houston Dynamo recorded 4 wins. The average total was 3.40 goals per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Vancouver Whitecaps to win with 63% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 63.04%, 21.84% and 15.13%. The model momentum difference is 47.91 points in favour of Vancouver Whitecaps. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.50 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.45%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Vancouver Whitecaps +0.5 / Houston Dynamo -0.5 supports Houston Dynamo by an average 2.09 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, Unibet) with up to 4 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

3 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 15, score 80/100, 80.40% group success rate across 2628 observations). Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2). Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.70).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Vancouver Whitecaps at home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 1.13 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.13 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 12.5%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 17 of 17 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Houston Dynamo away from home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 2.13 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 50.0%, 37.5%, 12.5% and 12.5% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 12.5%. Season card data is available for 18 of 18 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Vancouver Whitecaps and Houston Dynamo ended 0-1. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.4 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Vancouver Whitecaps at home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 1.13 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.13 total cards per match. In this game, Vancouver Whitecaps received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.13 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Houston Dynamo away from home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 2.13 total cards per match. In this game, Houston Dynamo received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.13 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 37.5% of matches, 5+ in 12.5%, and a red card in 12.5%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Houston Dynamo at -0.5. The stored market movement was 2.09 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 0-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 15. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.7. The actual market outcome was BTTS No. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 12 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.