Match context

The upcoming match between Vancouver Whitecaps and FC Dallas is scheduled for 23.08.2026 01:30 in Major League Soccer. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Vancouver Whitecaps are in position 1 with 33 points after 17 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 38 scored and 17 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLWLW. FC Dallas are in position 6 with 26 points after 18 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 32 scored and 25 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDWWL.

Recent results

Vancouver Whitecaps recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWDLLDDLDL. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. FC Dallas recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLWWDLDWW. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vancouver Whitecaps recorded 5 wins, there were 3 draws, and FC Dallas recorded 2 wins. The average total was 2.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 1.5 goals — 50%; Both teams to score — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Vancouver Whitecaps to win with 63% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 62.70%, 21.32% and 15.99%. The model momentum difference is 46.71 points in favour of Vancouver Whitecaps. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.53 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -4.08%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Vancouver Whitecaps at home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 1.11 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.11 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 11.1%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 18 of 18 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for FC Dallas away from home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.90 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.90 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 60.0%, 30.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 19 of 19 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Vancouver Whitecaps and FC Dallas ended 5-0. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 4 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.5 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 1 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.