Match context

The upcoming match between New York Red Bulls and Philadelphia Union is scheduled for 29.08.2026 23:30 in Major League Soccer. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
New York Red Bulls are in position 8 with 26 points after 18 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 29 scored and 39 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLLWL. Philadelphia Union are in position 13 with 21 points after 18 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 25 scored and 33 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDWWW.

Recent results

New York Red Bulls recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLLWLLWDWW. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Philadelphia Union recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDWLWLWWWL. The averages are 2 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, New York Red Bulls recorded 1 wins, there were 2 draws, and Philadelphia Union recorded 7 wins. The average total was 2.30 goals per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 10; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair New York Red Bulls -1.25 / Philadelphia Union +1.25 supports Philadelphia Union by an average 1.06 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (Bet365) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 21, score 85/100, 84.64% group success rate across 1074 observations). Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.36).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for New York Red Bulls at home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.10 yellow cards, 0.10 red cards and 2.20 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 90.0%, 50.0%, 40.0%, 20.0% and 10.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 10.0%. Season card data is available for 18 of 18 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Philadelphia Union away from home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.80 yellow cards, 0.20 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 90.0%, 90.0%, 70.0%, 40.0% and 10.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 20.0%. Season card data is available for 19 of 19 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between New York Red Bulls and Philadelphia Union ended 1-3. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The verified final statistics recorded 11 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.3 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 10 total corners. The match recorded 11 corners in total. The result remained within one corner of the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 9.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for New York Red Bulls at home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 2.1 yellow cards, 0.1 red cards and 2.2 total cards per match. In this game, New York Red Bulls received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.2 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 40% of matches, 5+ in 10%, and a red card in 10%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Philadelphia Union away from home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 2.8 yellow cards, 0.2 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, Philadelphia Union received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 1 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 70% of matches, 5+ in 10%, and a red card in 20%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Philadelphia Union at +1.25. The stored market movement was 1.06 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 1-3, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 21. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.36. The actual market outcome was BTTS Yes. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 15 verifiable pre-match indicators, 10 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.