Match context

The upcoming match between Toronto FC and New York City FC is scheduled for 29.08.2026 23:30 in Major League Soccer. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Toronto FC are in position 10 with 24 points after 18 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 32 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDWDL. New York City FC are in position 7 with 27 points after 18 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 31 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLLDW.

Recent results

Toronto FC recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDWDLDDLLL. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. New York City FC recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLLLLWDWWL. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Toronto FC recorded 2 wins, there were 1 draws, and New York City FC recorded 7 wins. The average total was 3.60 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Both teams to score — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 10.20; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Toronto FC -0.75 / New York City FC +0.75 supports Toronto FC by an average 1.09 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365) with up to 12 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Toronto FC at home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 1.91 yellow cards, 0.27 red cards and 2.18 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 90.9%, 63.6%, 27.3%, 27.3% and 9.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 27.3%. Season card data is available for 20 of 20 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for New York City FC away from home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 2.67 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 2.78 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 77.8%, 55.6%, 22.2% and 22.2% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 11.1%. Season card data is available for 17 of 17 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Toronto FC and New York City FC ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The verified final statistics recorded 8 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.6 goals, while this match produced 2. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 100%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 10.2 total corners. The match recorded 8 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 8.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Toronto FC at home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 1.91 yellow cards, 0.27 red cards and 2.18 total cards per match. In this game, Toronto FC received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.82 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 27.3% of matches, 5+ in 9.1%, and a red card in 27.3%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for New York City FC away from home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 2.67 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 2.78 total cards per match. In this game, New York City FC received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.22 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 55.6% of matches, 5+ in 22.2%, and a red card in 11.1%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Toronto FC at -0.75. The stored market movement was 1.09 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-1, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 14 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 8 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.