Match context

The upcoming match between Sporting Kansas City and Vancouver Whitecaps is scheduled for 30.08.2026 00:30 in Major League Soccer. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Sporting Kansas City are in position 15 with 15 points after 18 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 2 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 18 scored and 46 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDLLL. Vancouver Whitecaps are in position 1 with 40 points after 17 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 38 scored and 17 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWDD.

Recent results

Sporting Kansas City recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLLLWLLWW. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Vancouver Whitecaps recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWDLLDDLD. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sporting Kansas City recorded 2 wins, there were 1 draws, and Vancouver Whitecaps recorded 7 wins. The average total was 2.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Vancouver Whitecaps to win with 66% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 15.70%, 17.95% and 66.35%. The model momentum difference is 50.65 points in favour of Vancouver Whitecaps. The input data quality score is 98/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.42 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.78%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Sporting Kansas City -0.5 / Vancouver Whitecaps +0.5 supports Sporting Kansas City by an average 2.05 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (Bet365) with up to 4 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 21, score 85/100, 84.65% group success rate across 1075 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Sporting Kansas City at home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 1.70 yellow cards, 0.10 red cards and 1.80 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 90.0%, 60.0%, 30.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 10.0%. Season card data is available for 21 of 21 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Vancouver Whitecaps away from home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 2.89 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 88.9%, 66.7%, 66.7%, 44.4% and 33.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 11.1%. Season card data is available for 19 of 19 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Sporting Kansas City and Vancouver Whitecaps ended 0-3. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.5 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Sporting Kansas City at home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 1.7 yellow cards, 0.1 red cards and 1.8 total cards per match. In this game, Sporting Kansas City received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.8 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 30% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 10%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Vancouver Whitecaps away from home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 2.89 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, Vancouver Whitecaps received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 1 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 66.7% of matches, 5+ in 33.3%, and a red card in 11.1%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Vancouver Whitecaps at +0.5. The stored market movement was 2.05 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 0-3, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 21. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 10 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.