Match context

The upcoming match between Houston Dynamo and San Jose Earthquakes is scheduled for 30.08.2026 00:30 in Major League Soccer. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Houston Dynamo are in position 2 with 38 points after 17 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 25 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWWW. San Jose Earthquakes are in position 4 with 33 points after 18 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 37 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLLD.

Recent results

Houston Dynamo recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWWWWDWWD. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 0.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. San Jose Earthquakes recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLDLLWLL. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 2.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Houston Dynamo recorded 6 wins, there were 2 draws, and San Jose Earthquakes recorded 2 wins. The average total was 3.60 goals per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Houston Dynamo or draw (1X) with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 58.89%, 22.03% and 19.08%. The model momentum difference is 39.81 points in favour of Houston Dynamo. The input data quality score is 98/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.17 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.32%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Houston Dynamo -0.25 / San Jose Earthquakes +0.25 supports Houston Dynamo by an average 3.81 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365) with up to 20 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Houston Dynamo at home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.10 yellow cards, 0.50 red cards and 2.60 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 80.0%, 60.0%, 10.0% and 10.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 40.0%. Season card data is available for 20 of 20 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for San Jose Earthquakes away from home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.25 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.25 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 87.5%, 87.5%, 50.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 18 of 19 completed matches (94.7% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Houston Dynamo and San Jose Earthquakes ended 0-0. The game produced 0 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.6 goals, while this match produced 0. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 90%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Houston Dynamo at home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 2.1 yellow cards, 0.5 red cards and 2.6 total cards per match. In this game, Houston Dynamo received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 2.6 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 60% of matches, 5+ in 10%, and a red card in 40%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for San Jose Earthquakes away from home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2.25 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.25 total cards per match. In this game, San Jose Earthquakes received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.25 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Houston Dynamo at -0.25. The stored market movement was 3.81 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 0-0, the line settled as a half loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 7 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.