Match context

The upcoming match between FC Dallas and Sporting Kansas City is scheduled for 06.09.2026 00:30 in Major League Soccer. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
FC Dallas are in position 5 with 33 points after 18 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 32 scored and 25 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWDL. Sporting Kansas City are in position 15 with 15 points after 18 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 2 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 18 scored and 46 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDLLL.

Recent results

FC Dallas recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWWLWWDLD. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Sporting Kansas City recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLDLLLWLLW. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 2.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, FC Dallas recorded 5 wins, there were 1 draws, and Sporting Kansas City recorded 4 wins. The average total was 3.90 goals per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 100% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as FC Dallas to win with 68% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 68.18%, 18.18% and 13.64%. The model momentum difference is 54.55 points in favour of FC Dallas. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.40 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -4.55%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair FC Dallas 0 / Sporting Kansas City 0 supports FC Dallas by an average 2.42 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (Bet365) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for FC Dallas at home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 2.33 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.33 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 88.9%, 44.4%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 21 of 21 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Sporting Kansas City away from home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 1.64 yellow cards, 0.18 red cards and 1.82 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 72.7%, 45.5%, 27.3%, 18.2% and 18.2% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 9.1%. Season card data is available for 22 of 22 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between FC Dallas and Sporting Kansas City ended 4-3. The game produced 7 goals in total. The first half contained 5 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.9 goals, while this match produced 7. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 100%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 100%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for FC Dallas at home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 2.33 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.33 total cards per match. In this game, FC Dallas received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 2.33 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 44.4% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Sporting Kansas City away from home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 1.64 yellow cards, 0.18 red cards and 1.82 total cards per match. In this game, Sporting Kansas City received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.82 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 27.3% of matches, 5+ in 18.2%, and a red card in 9.1%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported FC Dallas at 0. The stored market movement was 2.42 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 4-3, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.