Match context

The upcoming match between Toronto FC and Nashville SC is scheduled for 09.09.2026 23:30 in Major League Soccer. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Toronto FC are in position 10 with 24 points after 18 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 32 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDWDL. Nashville SC are in position 1 with 49 points after 18 matches. The season record is 12 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses. The goals record is 35 scored and 14 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWDL.

Recent results

Toronto FC recorded 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDWDWDLDDL. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Nashville SC recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWWWWLWLDL. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Toronto FC recorded 2 wins, there were 3 draws, and Nashville SC recorded 5 wins. The average total was 2.80 goals per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 10.70; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Toronto FC -1.5 / Nashville SC +1.5 supports Toronto FC by an average 1.58 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (Bet365) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.20, score 80/100, 80.04% bucket win rate across 551 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Toronto FC at home is based on 13 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.23 red cards and 2.23 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 92.3%, 69.2%, 30.8%, 23.1% and 7.7% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 23.1%. Season card data is available for 22 of 22 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Nashville SC away from home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.13 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 2.25 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 87.5%, 62.5%, 50.0%, 25.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 12.5%. Season card data is available for 19 of 19 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Toronto FC and Nashville SC ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The verified final statistics recorded 11 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.8 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 10.7 total corners. The match recorded 11 corners in total. The result remained within one corner of the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 9.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Toronto FC at home was based on 13 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0.23 red cards and 2.23 total cards per match. In this game, Toronto FC received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.23 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 30.8% of matches, 5+ in 7.7%, and a red card in 23.1%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Nashville SC away from home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2.13 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 2.25 total cards per match. In this game, Nashville SC received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 2.25 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 12.5%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Toronto FC at -1.5. The stored market movement was 1.58 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 2-1, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.2. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 14 verifiable pre-match indicators, 13 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.