Match context

The upcoming match between Houston Dynamo and Real Salt Lake is scheduled for 10.09.2026 00:30 in Major League Soccer. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Houston Dynamo are in position 2 with 38 points after 17 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 25 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWWW. Real Salt Lake are in position 8 with 28 points after 17 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 29 scored and 25 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLDDL.

Recent results

Houston Dynamo recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDLWWWWWDW. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 0.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Real Salt Lake recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLLLLDWWDD. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Houston Dynamo recorded 4 wins, there were 2 draws, and Real Salt Lake recorded 4 wins. The average total was 3 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 60%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

An earlier confirmed reversal signal with Pinnacle supported Real Salt Lake through Away +0.5. The newer normalized movement for Houston Dynamo -0.5 / Real Salt Lake +0.5 supports Real Salt Lake by an average 5.64 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. The directions conflict, so the Asian signal is not used as a standalone selection.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.22, score 75/100, 74.96% bucket win rate across 595 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Houston Dynamo at home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 1.91 yellow cards, 0.45 red cards and 2.36 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 90.9%, 72.7%, 54.5%, 9.1% and 9.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 36.4%. Season card data is available for 22 of 22 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Real Salt Lake away from home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.70 yellow cards, 0.10 red cards and 2.80 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 90.0%, 90.0%, 70.0%, 20.0% and 10.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 10.0%. Season card data is available for 21 of 21 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Houston Dynamo and Real Salt Lake ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3 total goals, while this match produced 3. That is an exact match with the historical scoring profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Houston Dynamo at home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 1.91 yellow cards, 0.45 red cards and 2.36 total cards per match. In this game, Houston Dynamo received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.36 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 54.5% of matches, 5+ in 9.1%, and a red card in 36.4%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Real Salt Lake away from home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 2.7 yellow cards, 0.1 red cards and 2.8 total cards per match. In this game, Real Salt Lake received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 1.2 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 70% of matches, 5+ in 10%, and a red card in 10%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.22. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.