Match context

The upcoming match between San Diego and San Jose Earthquakes is scheduled for 10.09.2026 02:30 in Major League Soccer. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
San Diego are in position 11 with 27 points after 18 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 6 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 32 scored and 29 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWDW. San Jose Earthquakes are in position 4 with 33 points after 18 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 3 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 37 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLLD.

Recent results

San Diego recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWLWWWLDW. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. San Jose Earthquakes recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDLLLLDLLW. The averages are 1 goals scored and 2.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 4 head-to-head matches, San Diego recorded 2 wins, there were 0 draws, and San Jose Earthquakes recorded 2 wins. The average total was 2.25 goals per match. Both teams scored in 25% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair San Diego +0.5 / San Jose Earthquakes -0.5 supports San Jose Earthquakes by an average 1.37 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, Unibet) with up to 3 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2). At least one goal in the match (quota 21, score 84/100, 84.31% group success rate across 1160 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for San Diego at home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 1.73 yellow cards, 0.27 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 72.7%, 45.5%, 36.4%, 27.3% and 9.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 27.3%. Season card data is available for 22 of 22 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for San Jose Earthquakes away from home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 90.0%, 70.0%, 40.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 20 of 21 completed matches (95.2% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between San Diego and San Jose Earthquakes ended 2-3. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 4 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.25 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 4 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 75%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for San Diego at home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 1.73 yellow cards, 0.27 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, San Diego received 3 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 4 in total. That was 2 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 36.4% of matches, 5+ in 9.1%, and a red card in 27.3%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for San Jose Earthquakes away from home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2 total cards per match. In this game, San Jose Earthquakes received 5 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 6 in total. That was 4 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 40% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported San Jose Earthquakes at -0.5. The stored market movement was 1.37 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-3, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 21. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 9 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.