Match context

The upcoming match between Portland Timbers and St. Louis City is scheduled for 10.09.2026 02:30 in Major League Soccer. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Portland Timbers are in position 9 with 28 points after 18 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 33 scored and 33 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWLWW. St. Louis City are in position 6 with 33 points after 18 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDWDW.

Recent results

Portland Timbers recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLDWLWLWWW. The averages are 2.40 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 100% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals. St. Louis City recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDWDWDWWWW. The averages are 2.30 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 7 head-to-head matches, Portland Timbers recorded 2 wins, there were 2 draws, and St. Louis City recorded 3 wins. The average total was 3.43 goals per match. Both teams scored in 85.7% of those matches, while 85.7% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Both teams to score — 100%; Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Portland Timbers -0.5 / St. Louis City +0.5 supports St. Louis City by an average 3.30 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, Unibet) with up to 33 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2). At least one goal in the match (quota 19, score 82/100, 81.65% group success rate across 1548 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Portland Timbers at home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 1.83 yellow cards, 0.08 red cards and 1.92 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 58.3%, 25.0%, 8.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 8.3%. Season card data is available for 23 of 23 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for St. Louis City away from home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 2.09 yellow cards, 0.18 red cards and 2.27 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 81.8%, 54.5%, 36.4%, 18.2% and 18.2% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 18.2%. Season card data is available for 22 of 22 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Portland Timbers and St. Louis City ended 2-2. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 7 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.43 goals, while this match produced 4. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 7 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 85.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 7 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 85.7%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 100%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Portland Timbers at home was based on 12 matches, with averages of 1.83 yellow cards, 0.08 red cards and 1.92 total cards per match. In this game, Portland Timbers received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.92 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 25% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 8.3%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for St. Louis City away from home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 2.09 yellow cards, 0.18 red cards and 2.27 total cards per match. In this game, St. Louis City received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 1.73 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 36.4% of matches, 5+ in 18.2%, and a red card in 18.2%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported St. Louis City at +0.5. The stored market movement was 3.3 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-2, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 19. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 9 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.