Match context

The upcoming match between Sporting Kansas City and Los Angeles FC is scheduled for 13.09.2026 00:30 in Major League Soccer. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Sporting Kansas City are in position 15 with 15 points after 18 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 2 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 18 scored and 46 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLDL. Los Angeles FC are in position 3 with 40 points after 24 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 7 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 38 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDDDL.

Recent results

Sporting Kansas City recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLDLLLWLL. The averages are 1 goals scored and 2.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Los Angeles FC recorded 2 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDDDLLDWDD. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 0.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 10% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Sporting Kansas City recorded 0 wins, there were 2 draws, and Los Angeles FC recorded 8 wins. The average total was 2.80 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as draw or Los Angeles FC (X2) with 80% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 19.95%, 24.30% and 55.75%. The model momentum difference is 35.80 points in favour of Los Angeles FC. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.18 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.54%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Sporting Kansas City +0.25 / Los Angeles FC -0.25 supports Sporting Kansas City by an average 1.03 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365) with up to 16 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Sporting Kansas City at home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 1.73 yellow cards, 0.09 red cards and 1.82 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 90.9%, 63.6%, 27.3%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 9.1%. Season card data is available for 23 of 23 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Los Angeles FC away from home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 1.67 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.67 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 75.0%, 58.3%, 33.3%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 24 of 24 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Sporting Kansas City and Los Angeles FC ended 3-1. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.8 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Sporting Kansas City at home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 1.73 yellow cards, 0.09 red cards and 1.82 total cards per match. In this game, Sporting Kansas City received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.18 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 27.3% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 9.1%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Los Angeles FC away from home was based on 12 matches, with averages of 1.67 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.67 total cards per match. In this game, Los Angeles FC received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.33 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 33.3% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Sporting Kansas City at +0.25. The stored market movement was 1.03 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.