Match context

The upcoming match between Colorado Rapids and CF Montreal is scheduled for 13.09.2026 01:30 in Major League Soccer. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Colorado Rapids are in position 7 with 32 points after 23 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 1 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 31 scored and 31 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLWLW. CF Montreal are in position 15 with 21 points after 18 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 24 scored and 35 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLDW.

Recent results

Colorado Rapids recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWLWWWLWD. The averages are 0.80 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 20% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals. CF Montreal recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLDLDWDDLL. The averages are 1 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 9 head-to-head matches, Colorado Rapids recorded 6 wins, there were 1 draws, and CF Montreal recorded 2 wins. The average total was 4.67 goals per match. Both teams scored in 88.9% of those matches, while 88.9% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%; Under 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Colorado Rapids or draw (1X) with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 57.72%, 23.23% and 19.05%. The model momentum difference is 38.67 points in favour of Colorado Rapids. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.18 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -4.48%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Colorado Rapids -0.25 / CF Montreal +0.25 supports Colorado Rapids by an average 2.19 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365) with up to 12 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.20, score 80/100, 80.39% bucket win rate across 566 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Colorado Rapids at home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 2.27 yellow cards, 0.18 red cards and 2.45 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 90.9%, 63.6%, 54.5%, 36.4% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 18.2%. Season card data is available for 23 of 23 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for CF Montreal away from home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 2.36 yellow cards, 0.18 red cards and 2.55 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 90.9%, 72.7%, 54.5%, 27.3% and 9.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 18.2%. Season card data is available for 23 of 23 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Colorado Rapids and CF Montreal ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 9 head-to-head meetings averaged 4.67 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 88.9%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 9 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 88.9%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Colorado Rapids at home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 2.27 yellow cards, 0.18 red cards and 2.45 total cards per match. In this game, Colorado Rapids received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.45 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 54.5% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 18.2%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for CF Montreal away from home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 2.36 yellow cards, 0.18 red cards and 2.55 total cards per match. In this game, CF Montreal received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.55 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 54.5% of matches, 5+ in 9.1%, and a red card in 18.2%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Colorado Rapids at -0.25. The stored market movement was 2.19 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.2. The actual market outcome was Under 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.