Match context

The upcoming match between San Jose Earthquakes and Houston Dynamo is scheduled for 13.09.2026 02:30 in Major League Soccer. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
San Jose Earthquakes are in position 5 with 38 points after 23 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 40 scored and 34 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDDLL. Houston Dynamo are in position 2 with 43 points after 23 matches. The season record is 12 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 30 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDDLW.

Recent results

San Jose Earthquakes recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDDLLLLDLL. The averages are 1 goals scored and 2.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Houston Dynamo recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDDLWWWWWD. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 0.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, San Jose Earthquakes recorded 2 wins, there were 3 draws, and Houston Dynamo recorded 5 wins. The average total was 3.30 goals per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 40%; Over 1.5 goals — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair San Jose Earthquakes -1.25 / Houston Dynamo +1.25 supports San Jose Earthquakes by an average 1.20 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (Bet365) with up to 4 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.20, score 80/100, 80.39% bucket win rate across 566 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for San Jose Earthquakes at home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.50 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 60.0%, 60.0%, 30.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 21 of 22 completed matches (95.5% coverage). The discipline profile for Houston Dynamo away from home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 2.27 yellow cards, 0.09 red cards and 2.36 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 63.6%, 45.5%, 18.2% and 9.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 9.1%. Season card data is available for 23 of 23 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between San Jose Earthquakes and Houston Dynamo ended 1-0. The game produced 1 goal in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.3 goals, while this match produced 1. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for San Jose Earthquakes at home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 2.5 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.5 total cards per match. In this game, San Jose Earthquakes received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 1.5 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 60% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Houston Dynamo away from home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 2.27 yellow cards, 0.09 red cards and 2.36 total cards per match. In this game, Houston Dynamo received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.36 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 45.5% of matches, 5+ in 9.1%, and a red card in 9.1%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported San Jose Earthquakes at -1.25. The stored market movement was 1.2 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 1-0, the line settled as a half loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.2. The actual market outcome was Under 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.