Match context

The upcoming match between Vasco DA Gama and Santos is scheduled for 16.08.2026 19:00 in Serie A. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Vasco DA Gama are in position 18 with 21 points after 20 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 23 scored and 31 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLLLL. Santos are in position 15 with 22 points after 20 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 29 scored and 33 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLWLL.

Recent results

Vasco DA Gama recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDWDWDDLLW. The averages are 1 goals scored and 0.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Santos recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWDWDWLWW. The averages are 2 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vasco DA Gama recorded 4 wins, there were 1 draws, and Santos recorded 5 wins. The average total was 3 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 1.5 goals — 50%; Both teams to score — 40%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 9.60; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Vasco DA Gama 0 / Santos 0 supports Vasco DA Gama by an average 1.58 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 30 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Vasco DA Gama at home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.38 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.38 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 62.5%, 37.5%, 25.0% and 12.5% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 14 of 15 completed matches (93.3% coverage). The discipline profile for Santos away from home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.57 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 2.71 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 85.7%, 42.9%, 42.9% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 14.3%. Season card data is available for 15 of 16 completed matches (93.8% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Vasco DA Gama and Santos ended 0-3. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 5 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3 total goals, while this match produced 3. That is an exact match with the historical scoring profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 9.6 total corners. The match recorded 5 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 7.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 8.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Vasco DA Gama at home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2.38 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.38 total cards per match. In this game, Vasco DA Gama received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.38 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 37.5% of matches, 5+ in 12.5%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Santos away from home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2.57 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 2.71 total cards per match. In this game, Santos received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 2.71 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 42.9% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 14.3%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Vasco DA Gama at 0. The stored market movement was 1.58 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 0-3, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 6 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.