Match context

The upcoming match between Coritiba and Corinthians is scheduled for 23.08.2026 22:30 in Serie A. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Coritiba are in position 11 with 27 points after 21 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 25 scored and 28 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDLLW. Corinthians are in position 9 with 29 points after 21 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 22 scored and 20 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDWWW.

Recent results

Coritiba recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWLDLLWWLD. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Corinthians recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLDWWLDDWD. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 0.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Coritiba recorded 0 wins, there were 4 draws, and Corinthians recorded 6 wins. The average total was 2.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 8.70; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 92%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Coritiba -0.75 / Corinthians +0.75 supports Coritiba by an average 2.80 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 33 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Coritiba at home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 1.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 83.3%, 16.7%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 16 of 17 completed matches (94.1% coverage). The discipline profile for Corinthians away from home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.88 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 3.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 87.5%, 50.0%, 37.5% and 25.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 12.5%. Season card data is available for 16 of 16 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Coritiba and Corinthians ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The verified final statistics recorded 18 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.5 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 8.7 total corners. The match recorded 18 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 92%. The actual outcome was Over 9.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Coritiba at home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 1 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1 total cards per match. In this game, Coritiba received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 1 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Corinthians away from home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2.88 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 3 total cards per match. In this game, Corinthians received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 1 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 25%, and a red card in 12.5%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Coritiba at -0.75. The stored market movement was 2.8 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-1, the line settled as a half win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 9 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.