Match context

The upcoming match between Atletico Paranaense and Fluminense is scheduled for 30.08.2026 14:00 in Serie A. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Atletico Paranaense are in position 3 with 41 points after 21 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 28 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWDWW. Fluminense are in position 4 with 41 points after 21 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 30 scored and 25 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWDDD.

Recent results

Atletico Paranaense recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDWLWDWWLL. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Fluminense recorded 2 wins, 7 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDWDDLDDDD. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Atletico Paranaense recorded 2 wins, there were 2 draws, and Fluminense recorded 6 wins. The average total was 2.80 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 10.98; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Atletico Paranaense at home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 1.63 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 1.75 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 62.5%, 62.5%, 25.0%, 12.5% and 12.5% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 12.5%. Season card data is available for 16 of 17 completed matches (94.1% coverage). The discipline profile for Fluminense away from home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.50 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 87.5%, 75.0%, 62.5%, 25.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 18 of 19 completed matches (94.7% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Atletico Paranaense and Fluminense ended 3-3. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 11 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.8 goals, while this match produced 6. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 10.98 total corners. The match recorded 11 corners in total. The result matched the stored average exactly. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 9.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Atletico Paranaense at home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 1.63 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 1.75 total cards per match. In this game, Atletico Paranaense received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.25 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 25% of matches, 5+ in 12.5%, and a red card in 12.5%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Fluminense away from home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2.5 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.5 total cards per match. In this game, Fluminense received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.5 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 62.5% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.