Match context

The upcoming match between Coritiba and Atletico Paranaense is scheduled for 12.09.2026 00:00 in Serie A. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Coritiba are in position 7 with 37 points after 21 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 6 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 25 scored and 28 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWDW. Atletico Paranaense are in position 3 with 45 points after 21 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 28 scored and 19 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDWDW.

Recent results

Coritiba recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWDWLDLLW. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Atletico Paranaense recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDWDWLWDWW. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Coritiba recorded 3 wins, there were 4 draws, and Atletico Paranaense recorded 3 wins. The average total was 1.60 goals per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 10% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Coritiba -1 / Atletico Paranaense +1 supports Atletico Paranaense by an average 5.79 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 26 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2.02).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Coritiba at home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 1.25 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.25 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 87.5%, 37.5%, 0.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 19 of 20 completed matches (95.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Atletico Paranaense away from home is based on 9 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 2.11 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 44.4%, 33.3%, 33.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 11.1%. Season card data is available for 18 of 19 completed matches (94.7% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Coritiba and Atletico Paranaense ended 3-3. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.6 goals, while this match produced 6. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Coritiba at home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 1.25 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.25 total cards per match. In this game, Coritiba received 4 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 5 in total. That was 3.75 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 0% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Atletico Paranaense away from home was based on 9 matches, with averages of 2 yellow cards, 0.11 red cards and 2.11 total cards per match. In this game, Atletico Paranaense received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 1.89 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 33.3% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 11.1%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Atletico Paranaense at +1. The stored market movement was 5.79 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-3, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2.02. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 6 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.