Match context

The upcoming match between Gremio and Vasco DA Gama is scheduled for 12.09.2026 19:00 in Serie A. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Gremio are in position 15 with 28 points after 20 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 22 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLLW. Vasco DA Gama are in position 17 with 25 points after 20 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 6 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 23 scored and 31 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLLD.

Recent results

Gremio recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWDLLWWDL. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Vasco DA Gama recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWWWLWLDD. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gremio recorded 5 wins, there were 2 draws, and Vasco DA Gama recorded 3 wins. The average total was 2 goals per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 50%; Over 3.5 goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 10.98; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Gremio -1 / Vasco DA Gama +1 supports Vasco DA Gama by an average 25.63 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 37 stored observations. The current confirmed reversal event points in the same direction. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Gremio at home is based on 10 matches. The team averages 2.30 yellow cards, 0.10 red cards and 2.40 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 90.0%, 70.0%, 50.0%, 30.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 10.0%. Season card data is available for 19 of 19 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Vasco DA Gama away from home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.50 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 2.63 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 87.5%, 87.5%, 62.5%, 25.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 12.5%. Season card data is available for 18 of 19 completed matches (94.7% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Gremio and Vasco DA Gama ended 1-2. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The verified final statistics recorded 8 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 10.98 total corners. The match recorded 8 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 8.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Gremio at home was based on 10 matches, with averages of 2.3 yellow cards, 0.1 red cards and 2.4 total cards per match. In this game, Gremio received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.6 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 10%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Vasco DA Gama away from home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2.5 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 2.63 total cards per match. In this game, Vasco DA Gama received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.37 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 62.5% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 12.5%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Vasco DA Gama at +1. The stored market movement was 25.63 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-2, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 11 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.