Match context

The upcoming match between Drogheda United and St Patrick's Athl. is scheduled for 21.08.2026 18:45 in Premier Division. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Drogheda United are in position 8 with 28 points after 27 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 10 draws and 11 losses. The goals record is 31 scored and 43 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDDWL. St Patrick's Athl. are in position 2 with 44 points after 26 matches. The season record is 12 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 41 scored and 22 conceded. The stored form sequence is DDDWL.

Recent results

Drogheda United recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDDDWWLLDL. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. St Patrick's Athl. recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWDDWWDWLW. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Drogheda United recorded 0 wins, there were 4 draws, and St Patrick's Athl. recorded 6 wins. The average total was 1.80 goals per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 9; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 95%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as draw or St Patrick's Athl. (X2) with 82% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 18.26%, 25.37% and 56.37%. The model momentum difference is 38.11 points in favour of St Patrick's Athl.. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.14 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.82%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Drogheda United -0.25 / St Patrick's Athl. +0.25 supports St Patrick's Athl. by an average 1.84 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 50 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Drogheda United at home is based on 13 matches. The team averages 2.62 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.62 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 92.3%, 76.9%, 53.8%, 30.8% and 7.7% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 27 of 27 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for St Patrick's Athl. away from home is based on 13 matches. The team averages 1.85 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.85 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 84.6%, 69.2%, 23.1%, 7.7% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 27 of 27 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Drogheda United and St Patrick's Athl. ended 0-2. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The verified final statistics recorded 9 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.8 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 9 total corners. The match recorded 9 corners in total. The result matched the stored average exactly. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 95%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Drogheda United at home was based on 13 matches, with averages of 2.62 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.62 total cards per match. In this game, Drogheda United received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.62 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 53.8% of matches, 5+ in 7.7%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for St Patrick's Athl. away from home was based on 13 matches, with averages of 1.85 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.85 total cards per match. In this game, St Patrick's Athl. received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 1.85 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 23.1% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported St Patrick's Athl. at +0.25. The stored market movement was 1.84 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 0-2, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 14 verifiable pre-match indicators, 11 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.