Match context

The upcoming match between Bohemians and Sligo Rovers is scheduled for 28.08.2026 18:45 in Premier Division. The listed venue is Dalymount Park, Dublin. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Bohemians are in position 3 with 44 points after 26 matches. The season record is 12 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 41 scored and 28 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWWWL. Sligo Rovers are in position 10 with 22 points after 27 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 7 draws and 15 losses. The goals record is 23 scored and 45 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDDLL.

Recent results

Bohemians recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWLLLDLWDW. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Sligo Rovers recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWLDDWLLLD. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Bohemians recorded 5 wins, there were 2 draws, and Sligo Rovers recorded 3 wins. The average total was 2.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 3.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 11; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Bohemians to win with 75% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 75.45%, 15.34% and 9.21%. The model momentum difference is 66.25 points in favour of Bohemians. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.22 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -7.95%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Bohemians +0.25 / Sligo Rovers -0.25 supports Bohemians by an average 2.96 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 6 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Corners Over Under — Over 8.5 (odds 1.21, score 100/100, 100% bucket win rate across 5 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Bohemians at home is based on 14 matches. The team averages 1.93 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 2.07 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 64.3%, 28.6%, 7.1% and 7.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 14.3%. Season card data is available for 28 of 28 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Sligo Rovers away from home is based on 14 matches. The team averages 2.14 yellow cards, 0.21 red cards and 2.36 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 85.7%, 64.3%, 50.0%, 28.6% and 7.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 21.4%. Season card data is available for 28 of 28 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Bohemians and Sligo Rovers ended 3-0. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 6 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.5 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 11 total corners. The match recorded 6 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 7.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 8.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Bohemians at home was based on 14 matches, with averages of 1.93 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 2.07 total cards per match. In this game, Bohemians received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 2.07 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 28.6% of matches, 5+ in 7.1%, and a red card in 14.3%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Sligo Rovers away from home was based on 14 matches, with averages of 2.14 yellow cards, 0.21 red cards and 2.36 total cards per match. In this game, Sligo Rovers received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.64 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 7.1%, and a red card in 21.4%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Bohemians at +0.25. The stored market movement was 2.96 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 8.5 corners at odds of 1.21. The actual market outcome was Under 8.5 corners. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 14 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 8 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.