Match context

The upcoming match between Derry City and Shamrock Rovers is scheduled for 30.08.2026 15:00 in Premier Division. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Derry City are in position 6 with 33 points after 27 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 12 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 35 scored and 32 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDLWD. Shamrock Rovers are in position 1 with 54 points after 26 matches. The season record is 15 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses. The goals record is 40 scored and 22 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDWWD.

Recent results

Derry City recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWWDLLWLLL. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Shamrock Rovers recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDLLWWDWLW. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Derry City recorded 3 wins, there were 3 draws, and Shamrock Rovers recorded 4 wins. The average total was 1.60 goals per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 20% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 8.50; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 89%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Derry City -1.25 / Shamrock Rovers +1.25 supports Derry City by an average 1.01 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 6 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Both Teams Score — Yes (odds 1.70).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Derry City at home is based on 14 matches. The team averages 2.14 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.14 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 92.9%, 57.1%, 21.4%, 14.3% and 7.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 28 of 28 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Shamrock Rovers away from home is based on 14 matches. The team averages 2.79 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 2.93 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 92.9%, 92.9%, 42.9%, 28.6% and 14.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 14.3%. Season card data is available for 27 of 27 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Derry City and Shamrock Rovers ended 3-3. The game produced 6 goals in total. The first half contained 4 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 8 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.6 goals, while this match produced 6. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 8.5 total corners. The match recorded 8 corners in total. The result remained within one corner of the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 8.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 89%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Derry City at home was based on 14 matches, with averages of 2.14 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.14 total cards per match. In this game, Derry City received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.14 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 21.4% of matches, 5+ in 7.1%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Shamrock Rovers away from home was based on 14 matches, with averages of 2.79 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 2.93 total cards per match. In this game, Shamrock Rovers received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 1.07 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 42.9% of matches, 5+ in 14.3%, and a red card in 14.3%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Derry City at -1.25. The stored market movement was 1.01 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-3, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was BTTS Yes at odds of 1.7. The actual market outcome was BTTS Yes. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 14 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 8 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.