Match context

The upcoming match between Dundalk and St Patrick's Athl. is scheduled for 14.09.2026 18:45 in Premier Division. The listed venue is Oriel Park, Dundalk. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Dundalk are in position 4 with 41 points after 30 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 11 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 47 scored and 46 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWLLD. St Patrick's Athl. are in position 2 with 53 points after 30 matches. The season record is 15 wins, 8 draws and 7 losses. The goals record is 47 scored and 25 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWWD.

Recent results

Dundalk recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWLWLDDWL. The averages are 2.30 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. St Patrick's Athl. recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDLWWWDDWW. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Dundalk recorded 2 wins, there were 3 draws, and St Patrick's Athl. recorded 5 wins. The average total was 2.60 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Dundalk -0.75 / St Patrick's Athl. +0.75 supports St Patrick's Athl. by an average 2.49 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 14 stored observations. The current confirmed reversal event points in the same direction. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Dundalk at home is based on 14 matches. The team averages 2.36 yellow cards, 0.29 red cards and 2.64 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 92.9%, 71.4%, 50.0%, 28.6% and 21.4% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 28.6%. Season card data is available for 30 of 30 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for St Patrick's Athl. away from home is based on 14 matches. The team averages 1.71 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.71 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 78.6%, 64.3%, 21.4%, 7.1% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 30 of 30 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Dundalk and St Patrick's Athl. ended 0-4. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.6 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Dundalk at home was based on 14 matches, with averages of 2.36 yellow cards, 0.29 red cards and 2.64 total cards per match. In this game, Dundalk received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.64 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 50% of matches, 5+ in 21.4%, and a red card in 28.6%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for St Patrick's Athl. away from home was based on 14 matches, with averages of 1.71 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.71 total cards per match. In this game, St Patrick's Athl. received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.71 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 21.4% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported St Patrick's Athl. at +0.75. The stored market movement was 2.49 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 0-4, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 4 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.