Match context

The upcoming match between Shelbourne and Drogheda United is scheduled for 14.09.2026 18:45 in Premier Division. The listed venue is Tolka Park, Dublin. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Shelbourne are in position 6 with 36 points after 29 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 12 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 37 scored and 40 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDDLL. Drogheda United are in position 9 with 31 points after 30 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 10 draws and 13 losses. The goals record is 35 scored and 48 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLLDD.

Recent results

Shelbourne recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDDDLLLLWD. The averages are 1.30 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Drogheda United recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLLLWDDDWW. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Shelbourne recorded 3 wins, there were 4 draws, and Drogheda United recorded 3 wins. The average total was 2.90 goals per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Shelbourne -0.25 / Drogheda United +0.25 supports Drogheda United by an average 1.20 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 12 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

3 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2). Goals Over/Under — Under 2.5 (odds 1.90). Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.25, score 77/100, 77.26% bucket win rate across 598 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Shelbourne at home is based on 15 matches. The team averages 3.07 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 3.20 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 93.3%, 86.7%, 53.3%, 46.7% and 26.7% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 13.3%. Season card data is available for 29 of 29 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Drogheda United away from home is based on 14 matches. The team averages 1.93 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.93 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 64.3%, 28.6%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 30 of 30 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Shelbourne and Drogheda United ended 1-2. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.9 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Shelbourne at home was based on 15 matches, with averages of 3.07 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 3.2 total cards per match. In this game, Shelbourne received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.2 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 53.3% of matches, 5+ in 26.7%, and a red card in 13.3%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Drogheda United away from home was based on 14 matches, with averages of 1.93 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.93 total cards per match. In this game, Drogheda United received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.93 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 28.6% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Drogheda United at +0.25. The stored market movement was 1.2 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-2, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Odd. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was Under 2.5 at odds of 1.9. The actual market outcome was Over 2.5. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.25. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 13 verifiable pre-match indicators, 11 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.