Match context

The upcoming match between Waterford and Derry City is scheduled for 14.09.2026 18:45 in Premier Division. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Waterford are in position 8 with 33 points after 30 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 12 draws and 11 losses. The goals record is 40 scored and 49 conceded. The stored form sequence is DWDWW. Derry City are in position 5 with 37 points after 30 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 13 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 42 scored and 40 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDLWD.

Recent results

Waterford recorded 6 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWWDWWWDWD. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 0.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals. Derry City recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWDLWWDLLW. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Waterford recorded 3 wins, there were 1 draws, and Derry City recorded 6 wins. The average total was 4 goals per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Waterford -0.75 / Derry City +0.75 supports Derry City by an average 1.41 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 14 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Waterford at home is based on 15 matches. The team averages 2.47 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.47 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 93.3%, 73.3%, 40.0%, 20.0% and 13.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 30 of 30 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Derry City away from home is based on 15 matches. The team averages 3.13 yellow cards, 0.20 red cards and 3.33 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 93.3%, 86.7%, 53.3%, 40.0% and 20.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 20.0%. Season card data is available for 30 of 30 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Waterford and Derry City ended 2-2. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 4 total goals, while this match produced 4. That is an exact match with the historical scoring profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Waterford at home was based on 15 matches, with averages of 2.47 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.47 total cards per match. In this game, Waterford received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.47 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 40% of matches, 5+ in 13.3%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Derry City away from home was based on 15 matches, with averages of 3.13 yellow cards, 0.2 red cards and 3.33 total cards per match. In this game, Derry City received 6 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 6 in total. That was 2.67 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 53.3% of matches, 5+ in 20%, and a red card in 20%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Derry City at +0.75. The stored market movement was 1.41 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-2, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.