Match context

The upcoming match between Waterford and Dundalk is scheduled for 11.09.2026 18:45 in Premier Division. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Waterford are in position 9 with 25 points after 29 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 11 draws and 11 losses. The goals record is 39 scored and 48 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDDWW. Dundalk are in position 4 with 37 points after 29 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 10 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 46 scored and 45 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDDLL.

Recent results

Waterford recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WWDWWWDWDW. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 0.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Dundalk recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLWLDDWLL. The averages are 2.30 goals scored and 1.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 90% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Waterford recorded 6 wins, there were 2 draws, and Dundalk recorded 2 wins. The average total was 3.50 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 9; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 95%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Waterford -0.5 / Dundalk +0.5 supports Waterford by an average 4.01 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, Unibet) with up to 40 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Waterford at home is based on 14 matches. The team averages 2.57 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.57 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 92.9%, 78.6%, 42.9%, 21.4% and 14.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 29 of 29 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Dundalk away from home is based on 15 matches. The team averages 2.60 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 2.73 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 66.7%, 46.7%, 33.3% and 13.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 13.3%. Season card data is available for 29 of 29 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Waterford and Dundalk ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 10 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.5 goals, while this match produced 2. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 9 total corners. The match recorded 10 corners in total. The result remained within one corner of the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 95%. The actual outcome was Over 9.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Waterford at home was based on 14 matches, with averages of 2.57 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.57 total cards per match. In this game, Waterford received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.57 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 42.9% of matches, 5+ in 14.3%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Dundalk away from home was based on 15 matches, with averages of 2.6 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 2.73 total cards per match. In this game, Dundalk received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 1.27 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 46.7% of matches, 5+ in 13.3%, and a red card in 13.3%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Waterford at -0.5. The stored market movement was 4.01 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-1, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 14 verifiable pre-match indicators, 9 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.