Match context

The upcoming match between Shamrock Rovers and Drogheda United is scheduled for 08.10.2026 19:00 in Premier Division. The listed venue is Tallaght Stadium, Dublin. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Shamrock Rovers are in position 3 with 59 points after 31 matches. The season record is 17 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 49 scored and 31 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLDDW. Drogheda United are in position 9 with 34 points after 32 matches. The season record is 8 wins, 10 draws and 14 losses. The goals record is 38 scored and 51 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWLL.

Recent results

Shamrock Rovers recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLDDLDLLWW. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 2 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals. Drogheda United recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWWLLLWDD. The averages are 1.20 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Shamrock Rovers recorded 6 wins, there were 4 draws, and Drogheda United recorded 0 wins. The average total was 2.20 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Shamrock Rovers to win with 65% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 65.22%, 21.74% and 13.04%. The model momentum difference is 52.17 points in favour of Shamrock Rovers. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.40 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -8.70%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.22, score 78/100, 78.39% bucket win rate across 509 observations). At least one goal in the match (quota 12, score 78/100, 78.29% group success rate across 1617 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Shamrock Rovers at home is based on 15 matches. The team averages 1.87 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.87 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 86.7%, 53.3%, 20.0%, 20.0% and 6.7% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 31 of 31 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Drogheda United away from home is based on 16 matches. The team averages 1.75 yellow cards, 0.06 red cards and 1.81 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 56.3%, 25.0%, 0.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 6.3%. Season card data is available for 32 of 32 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Shamrock Rovers and Drogheda United ended 3-1. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 3 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.2 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Shamrock Rovers at home was based on 15 matches, with averages of 1.87 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.87 total cards per match. In this game, Shamrock Rovers received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 1.13 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 20% of matches, 5+ in 6.7%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Drogheda United away from home was based on 16 matches, with averages of 1.75 yellow cards, 0.06 red cards and 1.81 total cards per match. In this game, Drogheda United received 0 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 0 in total. That was 1.81 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 25% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 6.3%.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.22. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 12. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 7 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.