Match context

The upcoming match between Derry City and Dundalk is scheduled for 23.10.2026 18:45 in Premier Division. The listed venue is The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry (Londonderry). The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Derry City are in position 5 with 44 points after 34 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 14 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 46 scored and 44 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWDW. Dundalk are in position 6 with 42 points after 34 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 12 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 51 scored and 56 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLLLD.

Recent results

Derry City recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWWDWWDLW. The averages are 1.90 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Dundalk recorded 2 wins, 2 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLLLDLWLWL. The averages are 2.10 goals scored and 2.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Derry City recorded 5 wins, there were 4 draws, and Dundalk recorded 1 wins. The average total was 3.30 goals per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 10.20; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Derry City -0.75 / Dundalk +0.75 supports Derry City by an average 1.56 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 5 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Derry City at home is based on 17 matches. The team averages 2.06 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.06 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 94.1%, 58.8%, 17.6%, 11.8% and 5.9% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 34 of 34 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Dundalk away from home is based on 17 matches. The team averages 2.59 yellow cards, 0.12 red cards and 2.71 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 64.7%, 47.1%, 35.3% and 11.8% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 11.8%. Season card data is available for 34 of 34 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Derry City and Dundalk ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The verified final statistics recorded 7 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.3 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 10.2 total corners. The match recorded 7 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 7.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 8.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Derry City at home was based on 17 matches, with averages of 2.06 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.06 total cards per match. In this game, Derry City received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.06 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 17.6% of matches, 5+ in 5.9%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Dundalk away from home was based on 17 matches, with averages of 2.59 yellow cards, 0.12 red cards and 2.71 total cards per match. In this game, Dundalk received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.71 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 47.1% of matches, 5+ in 11.8%, and a red card in 11.8%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Derry City at -0.75. The stored market movement was 1.56 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-1, the line settled as a half win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 12 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.