Match context

The upcoming match between Galway United and St Patrick's Athl. is scheduled for 23.10.2026 18:45 in Premier Division. The listed venue is Eamonn Deacy Park, Galway. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Galway United are in position 7 with 41 points after 34 matches. The season record is 10 wins, 11 draws and 13 losses. The goals record is 46 scored and 51 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWDLW. St Patrick's Athl. are in position 3 with 59 points after 34 matches. The season record is 17 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 53 scored and 28 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLWWW.

Recent results

Galway United recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLDLWLWDW. The averages are 1.50 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. St Patrick's Athl. recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWWWDLWWW. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Galway United recorded 2 wins, there were 3 draws, and St Patrick's Athl. recorded 5 wins. The average total was 2.80 goals per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 9.30; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 98%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as draw or St Patrick's Athl. (X2) with 82% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 18.18%, 23.92% and 57.90%. The model momentum difference is 39.72 points in favour of St Patrick's Athl.. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.14 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -6.73%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Galway United -0.5 / St Patrick's Athl. +0.5 supports Galway United by an average 3.61 percentage points across 1 bookmakers (Bet365) with up to 5 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

1 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.22, score 79/100, 79.26% bucket win rate across 540 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Galway United at home is based on 17 matches. The team averages 1.82 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.82 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 88.2%, 64.7%, 23.5%, 5.9% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 34 of 34 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for St Patrick's Athl. away from home is based on 17 matches. The team averages 1.65 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 1.65 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 82.4%, 58.8%, 17.6%, 5.9% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 34 of 34 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Galway United and St Patrick's Athl. ended 0-0. The game produced 0 goals in total. The first half contained 0 goals. The verified final statistics recorded 2 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.8 goals, while this match produced 0. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 9.3 total corners. The match recorded 2 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 7.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 8.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 98%. The actual outcome was Under 9.5 corners. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Galway United at home was based on 17 matches, with averages of 1.82 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.82 total cards per match. In this game, Galway United received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 1.18 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 23.5% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for St Patrick's Athl. away from home was based on 17 matches, with averages of 1.65 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 1.65 total cards per match. In this game, St Patrick's Athl. received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.65 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 17.6% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Galway United at -0.5. The stored market movement was 3.61 percentage points across 1 bookmaker. At the final score of 0-0, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.22. The actual market outcome was Under 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was not confirmed.

Summary

Of 14 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 11 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.