Match context

The upcoming match between Longford Town and Finn Harps is scheduled for 03.08.2026 16:00 in First Division. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Longford Town are in position 5 with 31 points after 25 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 29 scored and 32 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWLL. Finn Harps are in position 10 with 22 points after 25 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 7 draws and 13 losses. The goals record is 21 scored and 43 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLWDL.

Recent results

Longford Town recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWWWLLWWD. The averages are 2.60 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals. Finn Harps recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLWDLLLD. The averages are 0.60 goals scored and 2.20 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Longford Town recorded 0 wins, there were 6 draws, and Finn Harps recorded 4 wins. The average total was 2.20 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 1.5 goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Longford Town or draw (1X) with 81% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 56.50%, 24.86% and 18.64%. The model momentum difference is 37.85 points in favour of Longford Town. The input data quality score is 92/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.17 with Betano. The stored estimated EV is -4.81%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Longford Town 0 / Finn Harps 0 supports Longford Town by an average 3.81 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Pinnacle, 1xBet) with up to 17 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

What happened in the match

The match between Longford Town and Finn Harps ended 5-0. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.2 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Longford Town at 0. The stored market movement was 3.81 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 5-0, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 5 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.