Match context

The upcoming match between Bray Wanderers and Finn Harps is scheduled for 07.08.2026 18:45 in First Division. The listed venue is Carlisle Grounds, Bray. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Bray Wanderers are in position 2 with 40 points after 26 matches. The season record is 11 wins, 7 draws and 8 losses. The goals record is 49 scored and 37 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLWWW. Finn Harps are in position 10 with 22 points after 26 matches. The season record is 5 wins, 7 draws and 14 losses. The goals record is 21 scored and 48 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLLLW.

Recent results

Bray Wanderers recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWWWWLWDW. The averages are 2.20 goals scored and 1.30 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals. Finn Harps recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLLLLWDLLL. The averages are 0.40 goals scored and 2.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 30% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Bray Wanderers recorded 4 wins, there were 3 draws, and Finn Harps recorded 3 wins. The average total was 3.70 goals per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 100%; Under 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 40%; Over 1.5 goals — 40%; Over 2.5 goals — 40%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Bray Wanderers to win with 70% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 70.45%, 15.68% and 13.87%. The model momentum difference is 56.57 points in favour of Bray Wanderers. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.28 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.83%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between Bray Wanderers and Finn Harps ended 5-0. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.7 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was No BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Over 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 2 aligned with the final result and 6 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.