Match context

The upcoming match between Kerry and UCD is scheduled for 21.08.2026 18:45 in First Division. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Kerry are in position 6 with 35 points after 26 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 33 scored and 30 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWWD. UCD are in position 3 with 43 points after 26 matches. The season record is 12 wins, 4 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 42 scored and 31 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLDWL.

Recent results

Kerry recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLWWWDDLWW. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals. UCD recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LWLDWWLLWL. The averages are 1.60 goals scored and 1.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 70% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Kerry recorded 2 wins, there were 1 draws, and UCD recorded 7 wins. The average total was 2.10 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 2.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Kerry -1 / UCD +1 supports Kerry by an average 7.37 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 43 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. Odd/Even — Odd (odds 2). Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.20, score 78/100, 77.53% bucket win rate across 445 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Kerry at home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 2.67 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 2.83 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 83.3%, 66.7%, 33.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 16.7%. Season card data is available for 15 of 27 completed matches (55.6% coverage). The discipline profile for UCD away from home is based on 6 matches. The team averages 2.50 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 2.67 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 100.0%, 33.3%, 16.7% and 16.7% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 16.7%. Season card data is available for 13 of 27 completed matches (48.1% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Kerry and UCD ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.1 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Kerry at home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 2.67 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 2.83 total cards per match. In this game, Kerry received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.83 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 66.7% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 16.7%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for UCD away from home was based on 6 matches, with averages of 2.5 yellow cards, 0.17 red cards and 2.67 total cards per match. In this game, UCD received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.33 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 33.3% of matches, 5+ in 16.7%, and a red card in 16.7%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Kerry at -1. The stored market movement was 7.37 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-1, the line settled as a full loss. The Asian-handicap signal was not confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was Odd at odds of 2. The actual market outcome was Even. The Premium signal was not confirmed. The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.2. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 5 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.