Match context

The upcoming match between Kerry and Treaty United is scheduled for 28.08.2026 18:45 in First Division. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Kerry are in position 6 with 35 points after 26 matches. The season record is 9 wins, 8 draws and 9 losses. The goals record is 33 scored and 30 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWWWD. Treaty United are in position 9 with 29 points after 26 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 8 draws and 11 losses. The goals record is 26 scored and 37 conceded. The stored form sequence is LWLWW.

Recent results

Kerry recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLLWWWDDLW. The averages are 1.80 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 90% finished with over 2.5 goals. Treaty United recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWLWLWWDL. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 60% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Kerry recorded 2 wins, there were 5 draws, and Treaty United recorded 3 wins. The average total was 2.80 goals per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 80%; Over 2.5 goals — 70%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%; Both teams to score — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Kerry -0.25 / Treaty United +0.25 supports Kerry by an average 1.52 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 27 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Kerry at home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.43 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 2.57 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 71.4%, 57.1%, 28.6% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 14.3%. Season card data is available for 16 of 28 completed matches (57.1% coverage). The discipline profile for Treaty United away from home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 2.75 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 2.88 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 87.5%, 25.0%, 12.5% and 12.5% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 12.5%. Season card data is available for 17 of 28 completed matches (60.7% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Kerry and Treaty United ended 3-1. The game produced 4 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.8 goals, while this match produced 4. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 80%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Kerry at home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2.43 yellow cards, 0.14 red cards and 2.57 total cards per match. In this game, Kerry received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 1.57 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 57.1% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 14.3%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Treaty United away from home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 2.75 yellow cards, 0.13 red cards and 2.88 total cards per match. In this game, Treaty United received 3 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 4 in total. That was 1.12 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 25% of matches, 5+ in 12.5%, and a red card in 12.5%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Kerry at -0.25. The stored market movement was 1.52 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-1, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 8 verifiable pre-match indicators, 6 aligned with the final result and 2 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.