Match context

The upcoming match between Cork City and Cobh Ramblers is scheduled for 11.09.2026 18:45 in First Division. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Cork City are in position 1 with 63 points after 30 matches. The season record is 21 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 62 scored and 26 conceded. The stored form sequence is WWWLL. Cobh Ramblers are in position 5 with 37 points after 30 matches. The season record is 12 wins, 6 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 35 scored and 41 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLWLL.

Recent results

Cork City recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DWDWWWLLLL. The averages are 2.10 goals scored and 2.50 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals. Cobh Ramblers recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DDWWLWLLLL. The averages are 1.10 goals scored and 1.40 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cork City recorded 7 wins, there were 2 draws, and Cobh Ramblers recorded 1 wins. The average total was 2.20 goals per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 40% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 100%; Both teams to score — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Over 1.5 first-half goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Cork City to win with 63% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 63.17%, 21.01% and 15.82%. The model momentum difference is 47.35 points in favour of Cork City. The input data quality score is 96/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.44 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -9.03%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Cork City 0 / Cobh Ramblers 0 supports Cobh Ramblers by an average 2.71 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 9 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Premium market signals

2 active football Premium signals are stored for this fixture. At least one goal in the match (quota 19, score 82/100, 81.64% group success rate across 1552 observations). Goals Over/Under — Over 1.5 (odds 1.20, score 80/100, 80.18% bucket win rate across 545 observations).

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Cork City at home is based on 7 matches. The team averages 2.29 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.29 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 85.7%, 28.6%, 14.3% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 18 of 30 completed matches (60.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Cobh Ramblers away from home is based on 8 matches. The team averages 3.50 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 3.50 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 75.0%, 62.5%, 50.0% and 25.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 17 of 30 completed matches (56.7% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Cork City and Cobh Ramblers ended 2-3. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.2 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was No BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result did not align with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Over 2.5. The final result did not align with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 70%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Cork City at home was based on 7 matches, with averages of 2.29 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 2.29 total cards per match. In this game, Cork City received 2 yellow cards and 1 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.71 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 28.6% of matches, 5+ in 0%, and a red card in 0%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Cobh Ramblers away from home was based on 8 matches, with averages of 3.5 yellow cards, 0 red cards and 3.5 total cards per match. In this game, Cobh Ramblers received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 1.5 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 62.5% of matches, 5+ in 25%, and a red card in 0%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Cobh Ramblers at 0. The stored market movement was 2.71 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 2-3, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Premium market review

The stored Premium market was At least one FT goal with quota 19. The actual market outcome was At least one FT goal. The Premium signal was confirmed. The stored Premium market was Over 1.5 FT at odds of 1.2. The actual market outcome was Over 1.5 FT. The Premium signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 10 verifiable pre-match indicators, 7 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.