Match context

The upcoming match between Argentinos JRS and Aldosivi is scheduled for 30.08.2026 20:00 in Liga Profesional Argentina. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Argentinos JRS are in position 1 with 13 points after 22 matches. The season record is 13 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 28 scored and 17 conceded. The stored form sequence is DLWWW. Aldosivi are in position 15 with 2 points after 19 matches. The season record is 0 wins, 9 draws and 10 losses. The goals record is 8 scored and 23 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDLLL.

Recent results

Argentinos JRS recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLWWWWDWWL. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 0.90 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 40% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Aldosivi recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LLDLLLDWDL. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 1.60 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 70% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Argentinos JRS recorded 6 wins, there were 1 draws, and Aldosivi recorded 3 wins. The average total was 2.70 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 9.10; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 96%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Argentinos JRS to win with 68% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 67.50%, 23.05% and 9.45%. The model momentum difference is 58.05 points in favour of Argentinos JRS. The input data quality score is 100/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.40 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -5.50%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Argentinos JRS at home is based on 13 matches. The team averages 1.85 yellow cards, 0.08 red cards and 1.92 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 76.9%, 69.2%, 30.8%, 7.7% and 7.7% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 7.7%. Season card data is available for 24 of 24 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for Aldosivi away from home is based on 11 matches. The team averages 2.36 yellow cards, 0.09 red cards and 2.45 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 72.7%, 45.5%, 9.1% and 9.1% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 9.1%. Season card data is available for 22 of 22 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Argentinos JRS and Aldosivi ended 2-1. The game produced 3 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The verified final statistics recorded 16 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.7 goals, while this match produced 3. The result remained within one goal of the historical average.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 9.1 total corners. The match recorded 16 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 96%. The actual outcome was Over 9.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 90%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Argentinos JRS at home was based on 13 matches, with averages of 1.85 yellow cards, 0.08 red cards and 1.92 total cards per match. In this game, Argentinos JRS received 1 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 1 in total. That was 0.92 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 30.8% of matches, 5+ in 7.7%, and a red card in 7.7%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Aldosivi away from home was based on 11 matches, with averages of 2.36 yellow cards, 0.09 red cards and 2.45 total cards per match. In this game, Aldosivi received 4 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 4 in total. That was 1.55 cards above the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 45.5% of matches, 5+ in 9.1%, and a red card in 9.1%.

Summary

Of 9 verifiable pre-match indicators, 8 aligned with the final result and 1 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.