Match context

The upcoming match between Independiente and San Lorenzo is scheduled for 13.09.2026 22:15 in Liga Profesional Argentina. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Independiente are in position 8 with 13 points after 8 matches. The season record is 4 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses. The goals record is 7 scored and 6 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLDWL. San Lorenzo are in position 11 with 10 points after 8 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 3 scored and 5 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLDWL.

Recent results

Independiente recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLDWLLLWWW. The averages are 0.90 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 10% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. San Lorenzo recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLDWLLWLDL. The averages are 0.40 goals scored and 0.70 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 10% of those matches, while 0% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 10 head-to-head matches, Independiente recorded 3 wins, there were 6 draws, and San Lorenzo recorded 1 wins. The average total was 1.60 goals per match. Both teams scored in 60% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 80%; Under 2.5 goals — 70%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 40%; Over 1.5 goals — 40%; Over 2.5 goals — 30%. The stored corner indicators are: average total corners — 10.30; over 7.5 corners — 100%; over 8.5 corners — 100%; over 9.5 corners — 100%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Independiente 0 / San Lorenzo 0 supports San Lorenzo by an average 3.30 percentage points across 2 bookmakers (Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 6 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Independiente at home is based on 12 matches. The team averages 1.83 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 2.08 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 75.0%, 16.7%, 8.3% and 8.3% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 25.0%. Season card data is available for 25 of 25 completed matches (100.0% coverage). The discipline profile for San Lorenzo away from home is based on 13 matches. The team averages 3.00 yellow cards, 0.08 red cards and 3.08 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 84.6%, 69.2%, 30.8% and 15.4% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 7.7%. Season card data is available for 24 of 24 completed matches (100.0% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Independiente and San Lorenzo ended 1-1. The game produced 2 goals in total. The first half contained 1 goal. The verified final statistics recorded 14 corners in total. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The historical profile from 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.6 goals, while this match produced 2. The result remained within one goal of the historical average. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome for this indicator was BTTS. The final result aligned with that historical profile. Across the previous 10 head-to-head meetings, the leading historical direction was Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome for this indicator was Under 2.5. The final result aligned with that historical profile.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated No BTTS at 90%. The actual outcome was BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 2.5 at 70%. The actual outcome was Under 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Under 3.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. The stored pre-match average was 10.3 total corners. The match recorded 14 corners in total. The result differed by more than one corner from the stored average. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 7.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 7.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 8.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 8.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 9.5 corners at 100%. The actual outcome was Over 9.5 corners. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 100%. The actual outcome was Under 1.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result.

Discipline profile review

Before kickoff, the discipline profile for Independiente at home was based on 12 matches, with averages of 1.83 yellow cards, 0.25 red cards and 2.08 total cards per match. In this game, Independiente received 2 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 2 in total. That was 0.08 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 16.7% of matches, 5+ in 8.3%, and a red card in 25%. Before kickoff, the discipline profile for San Lorenzo away from home was based on 13 matches, with averages of 3 yellow cards, 0.08 red cards and 3.08 total cards per match. In this game, San Lorenzo received 3 yellow cards and 0 red cards, 3 in total. That was 0.08 cards below the stored average. In the pre-match sample, 3+ cards occurred in 69.2% of matches, 5+ in 15.4%, and a red card in 7.7%.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported San Lorenzo at 0. The stored market movement was 3.3 percentage points across 2 bookmakers. At the final score of 1-1, the line settled as a push. The result is neutral and is counted as neither confirmed nor unconfirmed.

Summary

Of 13 verifiable pre-match indicators, 9 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed, while 1 settled neutrally. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.