Match context

The upcoming match between Sacramento Republic and Sporting JAX is scheduled for 02.08.2026 03:00 in USL Championship. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Sacramento Republic are in position 5 with 23 points after 15 matches. The season record is 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 losses. The goals record is 19 scored and 15 conceded. The stored form sequence is WDWLW. Sporting JAX are in position 13 with 8 points after 18 matches. The season record is 1 wins, 5 draws and 12 losses. The goals record is 23 scored and 46 conceded. The stored form sequence is LDWDL.

Recent results

Sacramento Republic recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WDLWLWDLLW. The averages are 1 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 30% finished with over 2.5 goals. Sporting JAX recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is LDWDLLLLDD. The averages are 1.70 goals scored and 2.80 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 80% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Over 1.5 goals — 90%; Over 0.5 first-half goals — 70%; Both teams to score — 60%; Over 2.5 goals — 60%; Under 3.5 goals — 60%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Sacramento Republic to win with 69% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 68.52%, 18.75% and 12.73%. The model momentum difference is 55.80 points in favour of Sacramento Republic. The input data quality score is 92/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.30 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.92%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

What happened in the match

The match between Sacramento Republic and Sporting JAX ended 5-0. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 4 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated BTTS at 60%. The actual outcome was No BTTS. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 2.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 2.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 0.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 3 aligned with the final result and 3 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.