Match context

The upcoming match between Colorado Springs and Birmingham Legion is scheduled for 16.08.2026 01:00 in USL Championship. The analysis uses only stored statistics, form, head-to-head records, trend percentages and active Premium market signals. It does not guarantee a particular result.

Standings and season form
Colorado Springs are in position 9 with 25 points after 17 matches. The season record is 7 wins, 4 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 28 scored and 24 conceded. The stored form sequence is LLWWW. Birmingham Legion are in position 11 with 17 points after 17 matches. The season record is 3 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses. The goals record is 18 scored and 21 conceded. The stored form sequence is WLDLD.

Recent results

Colorado Springs recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is DLLWWWWLWL. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 1 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals. Birmingham Legion recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses across the last 10 completed matches. The newest-to-oldest result sequence is WLWDLDDLWD. The averages are 1.40 goals scored and 1.10 goals conceded per match. Both teams scored in 80% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-head

Across the last 4 head-to-head matches, Colorado Springs recorded 3 wins, there were 0 draws, and Birmingham Legion recorded 1 wins. The average total was 2.25 goals per match. Both teams scored in 50% of those matches, while 50% finished with over 2.5 goals.

Trend indicators

The highest stored values are: Under 3.5 goals — 90%; Over 1.5 goals — 80%; Both teams to score — 50%; Over 2.5 goals — 50%; Under 2.5 goals — 50%. They are statistical indicators and are not automatically converted into a prediction.

PMV3 model and market price

The PMV3 model classifies the leading outcome as Colorado Springs to win with 65% confidence. The stored fair probabilities for home, draw and away are 64.57%, 20.58% and 14.85%. The model momentum difference is 49.72 points in favour of Colorado Springs. The input data quality score is 92/100. The stored price for the selected market is 1.38 with Bet365. The stored estimated EV is -10.89%. Despite the model probability, the price is marked NO_VALUE. The signal is therefore not treated automatically as a value bet.

Asian handicap market movement

The normalized movement for the Asian pair Colorado Springs 0 / Birmingham Legion 0 supports Colorado Springs by an average 4.09 percentage points across 3 bookmakers (Pinnacle, Bet365, 1xBet) with up to 8 stored observations. This is a market signal, not a result guarantee.

Discipline profile

The discipline profile for Colorado Springs at home is based on 5 matches. The team averages 2.00 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.00 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 60.0%, 20.0%, 20.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 10 of 18 completed matches (55.6% coverage). The discipline profile for Birmingham Legion away from home is based on 4 matches. The team averages 2.75 yellow cards, 0.00 red cards and 2.75 total cards per match. At least 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5 cards were recorded in 100.0%, 75.0%, 75.0%, 25.0% and 0.0% of those matches respectively, while a red card occurred in 0.0%. Season card data is available for 10 of 16 completed matches (62.5% coverage).

What happened in the match

The match between Colorado Springs and Birmingham Legion ended 3-2. The game produced 5 goals in total. The first half contained 2 goals. The following review compares the final result only with historical data, the discipline profile, trend values and Premium signals locked before kickoff.

Comparison with the head-to-head history

The previous 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.25 goals, while this match produced 5. The final scoring profile differed by more than one goal from that average.

Which pre-match trends were confirmed and which were not

Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Over 1.5 at 80%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5. The stored trend was confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 3.5 at 90%. The actual outcome was Over 3.5. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 0.5 HT at 60%. The actual outcome was Over 0.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result. Before kickoff, the stored trend indicated Under 1.5 HT at 70%. The actual outcome was Over 1.5 HT. The stored trend was not confirmed by the result.

Asian handicap review

The Asian-handicap signal locked before kickoff supported Colorado Springs at 0. The stored market movement was 4.09 percentage points across 3 bookmakers. At the final score of 3-2, the line settled as a full win. The Asian-handicap signal was confirmed.

Summary

Of 6 verifiable pre-match indicators, 2 aligned with the final result and 4 were not confirmed. This is a post-match verification of data stored before kickoff, not a revision of the analysis after the match ended.